Atlas Mountain

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 80

Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 219y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.5

Today: 3

Class gap: -0.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-08	Windsor	4	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2026-05-19	Nottingham	4	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2026-04-18	Newbury	4	10th	11th	−1	1.0
2025-08-02	Goodwood	2	7th	6th	+1	4.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 10

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength97%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
02/08/2025	7th	50/1	0%	45%	+0.45
18/04/2026	10th	33/1	0%	63%	+0.63
19/05/2026	3rd	20/1	0%	80%	+0.80
08/06/2026	3rd	10/3	82%	80%	-0.02