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9

Church Wedding

3yo Filly · 8-13

Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 219y

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made appeal on paper and, having been well backed, showed plenty to work on when third of 13 in maiden at this course (1m) on debut in January. Off since but she's in good hands and is bred to be suited by this longer trip. Interesting contender.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 14/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 12214/014
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-14Kempton43rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength89%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/01/20263rd1/195%83%-0.11