10

Dove Tale

3yo Filly · 8-13

Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 219y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off at big odds (40/1) first time up and looked one for the longer term when ninth of 11 in novice at Newmarket (7f) in November. This should reveal more as she goes up in distance after 9 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f GS 1281/114
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-01Newmarket49th10th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20259th40/10%20%+0.20