No Ordinary Joe
10yo Gelding · 9-13
Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 219y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Uttoxeter | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 1 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Sandown | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Aintree | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Wetherby | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Sandown | 2 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 16/01/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 07/03/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.03 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 09/05/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |