2
Angel Gabriel
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 80
Kempton · Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newmarket | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |