6

Blakefell

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 75

Kempton · Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 7f maiden at Musselburgh in May on return and has run well in handicaps both outings since, length third of 6 at the same course (9f) 6 weeks ago. Can give his running once more back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 21/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 13321/0852 @ Doncaster 11/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR - · 6f111y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS11/0922 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 26 · OR - · 7f Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS4/1022 @ Musselburgh 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 7f15y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 79 par5/112OR 794 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 75 · 7f15y Gd 127 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 75 par21/054OR 754 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 76 · 7f6y GF 126 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 76 par5/064OR 765 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m208y Gd 131 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 75 par22/065OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22Musselburgh53rd4th1
2026-06-05Doncaster46th6th0
2026-05-21Musselburgh41st1st0
2025-11-05Musselburgh22nd0th+2
2025-10-04Newmarket29th7th+2
2025-09-11Doncaster210th8th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/085/1122/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength76%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
11/09/202510th150/10%55%+0.55
04/10/20259th25/10%68%+0.68
05/11/20252nd5/493%89%-0.05
21/05/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
05/06/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
22/06/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26