8

Doodling
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 68
Kempton · Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-24 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 77% | +0.01 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |