8

Doodling

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 68

Kempton · Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved from debut when second in 1m novice here on return in April. Got back to a similar level when staying on to win 11-runner novice at Bath (5.7f) in June and this step back up in trip should suit. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 24/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 6f GF 12624/0644 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m Sta 1276/0444 @ Goodwood 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m Goo 1242/0545 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 70 · 6f213y Gd 132 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 par23/055OR 705 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 68 · 7f1y Std 130 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 68 par4/065OR 685 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 65 · 5f160y Goo 126 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 65 par13/065OR 65projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Bath51st2nd1
2026-06-04Lingfield57th8th1
2026-05-23Salisbury58th9th1
2026-05-02Goodwood46th6th0
2026-04-06Kempton42nd2nd0
2025-06-24Newbury44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/066/042/0523/054/0613/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength70%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20254th9/276%77%+0.01
06/04/20262nd13/266%89%+0.23
02/05/20266th7/163%38%-0.26
23/05/20268th9/153%46%-0.06
04/06/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
13/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16