1

Jumeirah Sands
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 81
Kempton · Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |