1

Jumeirah Sands

3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 81

Kempton · Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful over 6f at Southwell on first 2 outings this year and has shaped well both starts in handicaps, again drawn wide when close fourth of 10 at Wolverhampton 22 days ago. Remains with potential as she goes up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 10/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12810/0854 @ Southwell 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f16y Std 1309/0444 @ Southwell 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 76 · 6f16y Std 135 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 76 par7/054OR 764 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 6f Sta 130 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 80 par10/064OR 804 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 81 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 81 par14/074OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Wolverhampton44th4th0
2026-06-10Kempton42nd2nd0
2026-05-07Southwell41st1st0
2026-04-09Southwell41st1st0
2025-08-10Wolverhampton55th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/089/047/0510/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20255th7/282%33%-0.48
09/04/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
07/05/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
10/06/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
14/07/20264th10/147%67%+0.19