4
Piscean Star
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 77
Kempton · Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-18 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Newmarket | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2025-08-11 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/08/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 37% | +0.11 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |