4
Captain Robert
4yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 65
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m 7f 218y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Southwell | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 02/12/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/02/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |