3
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7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 67
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m 7f 218y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Fontwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fontwell | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-28 | Stratford | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Ascot | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 03/02/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 28/04/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 19/12/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/02/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |