Golden Garden
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 64
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap · 1m 7f 218y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Ludlow | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Taunton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 30/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |