6
Cracking Good Time
3yo Filly · 8-10
La Teste De Buch · Prix Daniele Cazenave Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-01-30 | Pau | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 19/04/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 11% | -0.70 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |