4
Falastini
3yo Gelding · 8-13
La Teste De Buch · Prix Daniele Cazenave Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#6
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 17/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |