4

Zanina

3yo Filly · 8-10

La Teste De Buch · Prix Theault Stakes · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 07/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1247/11C?C5 @ Pornichet 14/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m99y Std 128C0 @ Pornichet 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12426/12C?C0 @ Pornichet 27/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m99y Std 128C5 @ Pornichet 05/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1245/02C5C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f156y Hvy 129C5 @ Cholet 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f156y GS 12430/06C5C0 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13224/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Le Lion D'angers?9th9th0
2026-07-12Deauville?15th15th0
2026-06-30Cholet?6th9th3
2026-03-13Senonnes-Pouance?8th8th0
2026-02-05Pornichet?5th8th3
2026-01-27Pornichet?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1127/0130/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 4
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 4.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20255th11/271%50%-0.21
14/12/20254th14/126%73%+0.46
26/12/20255th11/142%67%+0.25
27/01/20266th15/261%38%-0.23
05/02/20265th13/266%60%-0.06
13/03/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
30/06/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
12/07/202615th28/10%7%+0.07
24/07/20269th16/116%33%+0.18