2

Bleu Nuit
3yo Gelding · 9-4
La Teste De Buch · Prix Hotel Des Ventes Du Bassin D'arcachon (jg Larrieu) Handicap · 1m 208y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 20/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |