2

Bleu Nuit

3yo Gelding · 9-4

La Teste De Buch · Prix Hotel Des Ventes Du Bassin D'arcachon (jg Larrieu) Handicap · 1m 208y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12319/12C5C5 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128C5 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12827/02C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 131C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12720/04C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 128C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12815/06C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y 12815/07C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15La Teste De Buch?5th5th0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat?3rd3rd0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?2nd2nd0
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud?9th9th0
2026-02-27Chantilly?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/123/0415/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20253rd17/255%86%+0.30
21/01/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
27/02/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
03/04/20269th11/271%27%-0.44
20/04/20262nd4/596%80%-0.16
23/05/20263rd15/261%83%+0.23
15/06/20263rd15/890%75%-0.15
15/07/20265th11/486%33%-0.52