7

La Almadia
3yo Filly · 8-2
La Teste De Buch · Prix Hotel Des Ventes Du Bassin D'arcachon (jg Larrieu) Handicap · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 17/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |