7

La Almadia

3yo Filly · 8-2

La Teste De Buch · Prix Hotel Des Ventes Du Bassin D'arcachon (jg Larrieu) Handicap · 1m 208y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pau 07/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1247/01C5C5 @ Pau 23/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 124C5 @ Pau 23/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12423/02C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 124C5 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12423/03C5C0 @ Tarbes 17/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 117C5 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1208/06C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 125C0 @ La Teste De Buch 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y 11715/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-07-06Clairefontaine?12th12th0
2026-06-08Toulouse?4th4th0
2026-04-17Tarbes?9th9th0
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan?4th4th0
2026-03-10Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0110/038/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/01/20269th40/10%0%0.00
23/01/20268th66/10%13%+0.13
23/02/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
10/03/20262nd16/116%92%+0.76
23/03/20264th11/271%70%-0.01
17/04/20269th28/10%27%+0.27
08/06/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
06/07/202612th8/158%8%-0.50
15/07/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70