1
Garris
4yo Gelding · 9-13
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau Lacroix De Mouchet - Montagne Saint Emilion Handicap · 5f 102y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pau | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 20/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 06/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 22/01/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |