10
Jasmin Dore
8yo Gelding · 8-8
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau Lacroix De Mouchet - Montagne Saint Emilion Handicap · 5f 102y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 30/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 28/02/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 17/03/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.59 |
| 23/05/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 29/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |