5
Lor Lagoon
5yo Gelding · 9-1
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau Lacroix De Mouchet - Montagne Saint Emilion Handicap · 5f 102y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 30/11/2025 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/12/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/03/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/05/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |