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8

Prolixe

3yo Gelding · 8-12

La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau Lacroix De Mouchet - Montagne Saint Emilion Handicap · 5f 102y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vittel 20/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12320/07C5C5 @ Marseille-borely 15/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 12815/09C5C0 @ Deauville 17/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12517/12C?C5 @ Marseille 10/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f100y Std 12810/02C5C5 @ Marseille 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1204/03C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12823/03C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Gd 11626/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan?6th7th−1
2026-03-04Marseille?3rd4th−1
2026-02-10Marseille?5th6th−1
2025-12-17Deauville?8th8th0
2025-09-15Marseille-borely?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0710/0226/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20257th5/174%45%-0.28
15/09/20258th25/10%0%0.00
17/12/20258th25/10%42%+0.42
10/02/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
04/03/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
23/03/20266th4/179%50%-0.29
26/06/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56