7
Abacur
5yo Gelding · 8-11
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau De Chantegrive Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 24/02/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |
| 10/03/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 27/04/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |
| 17/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |