8
Bare Elegance
5yo Filly · 8-10
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau De Chantegrive Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-10-25 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-09-25 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 19/07/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 01/08/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 25/09/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 25/10/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 15% | -0.40 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |