11
Kolplet
6yo Gelding · 8-6
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau De Chantegrive Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Pau | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/01/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/02/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 19/05/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |