2
Otomai
4yo Colt · 9-5
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau De Chantegrive Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 18/11/2025 | 16th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 19/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 09/02/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 8% | -0.71 |
| 26/03/2026 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |