5
Shutterwood
4yo Filly · 8-13
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau De Chantegrive Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Tarbes | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Pau | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/10/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 16/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 28/11/2025 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |