4
Agamemnon
8yo Gelding · 9-4
La Teste De Buch · Prix Dider Soubagne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Pau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/02/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 23/02/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 11/05/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |