5
Amity
4yo Filly · 9-1
La Teste De Buch · Prix Dider Soubagne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Tarbes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Le Mans | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 08/02/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/03/2026 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |