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13

Amoretti

5yo Gelding · 8-0

La Teste De Buch · Prix Dider Soubagne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Mont De Marsan 16/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12716/07C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 11/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 121C0 @ La Teste De Buch 20/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 12820/08C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 06/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 121C0 @ La Teste De Buch 25/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 11725/09C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 14/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 125C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 04/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 1204/11C?4 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1124 @ Dax 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 1238/074projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Dax45th5th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch414th14th0
2025-11-04Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd2nd0
2025-10-14Bordeaux Le Bouscat?6th6th0
2025-09-25La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2025-09-06La Teste De Buch?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/076/094/118/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20257th20/10%57%+0.57
11/08/202510th28/10%10%+0.10
20/08/20257th80/10%14%+0.14
06/09/20257th28/10%25%+0.25
25/09/20253rd50/10%85%+0.85
14/10/20256th15/261%50%-0.11
04/11/20252nd7/163%91%+0.28
03/06/202614th22/10%13%+0.13
08/07/20265th12/137%60%+0.23