7

Just For Gab's
4yo Filly · 8-12
La Teste De Buch · Prix Dider Soubagne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |