2
Massko
4yo Gelding · 9-6
La Teste De Buch · Prix Dider Soubagne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/02/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 10/04/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.39 |
| 11/05/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |