12
Ugatzai
5yo Gelding · 8-5
La Teste De Buch · Prix Dider Soubagne Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-28 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Pau | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 10/06/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 29/12/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 23/01/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 05/03/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 28/03/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 16/07/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |