13
Dariya Ka De Saon
4yo Filly · 8-12
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau D'arche - Sauternes, Grand Cru Classe 1855 Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 10.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Deauville | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/12/2025 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 27/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 29/06/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |