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2

Gouverne

4yo Filly · 9-6

La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau D'arche - Sauternes, Grand Cru Classe 1855 Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 29/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m88y Hvy 14529/09C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 21/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 14321/10C?C0 @ Pau 07/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 1457/01C?C5 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12418/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1241/07C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?1st2nd−1
2026-05-18Dax?5th6th−1
2026-04-22La Teste De Buch?0
2026-01-07Pau?7th7th0
2025-12-31Pau?0
2025-10-21Bordeaux Le Bouscat?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0921/107/0118/051/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
21/10/20258th10/147%30%-0.17
07/01/20267th20/10%0%0.00
18/05/20265th16/116%69%+0.53
01/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47