12
Hot In Front
5yo Gelding · 8-13
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau D'arche - Sauternes, Grand Cru Classe 1855 Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-16 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 01/12/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 12/01/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/02/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 09/03/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/04/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 16/07/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |