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4

Monte Linas

6yo Gelding · 9-5

La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau D'arche - Sauternes, Grand Cru Classe 1855 Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Cloud 20/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12120/11C?C0 @ Chantilly 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128BHA77 @ Deauville 30/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 77 · 1m1f97y Std 127 · below its mark30/12/2025 · OR 77 par30/1277OR 77C0 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1284 @ Pornichet 27/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 77 · 1m99y Std 123 · beat its mark27/01/2026 · OR 77 par27/014OR 773 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m208y Gd 134 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 77 par17/054OR 774 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1254 @ La Teste De Buch 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f209y 13115/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15La Teste De Buch42nd2nd0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch41st1st0
2026-05-17Le Croise-Laroche44th4th0
2026-05-04Chantilly312th11th+1
2026-01-27Pornichet41st1st0
2026-01-21Chantilly?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1121/0117/0515/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/202514th33/10%13%+0.13
11/12/20255th20/10%71%+0.71
30/12/202510th20/10%25%+0.25
21/01/20265th14/126%69%+0.43
27/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/05/202612th12/137%27%-0.10
17/05/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
03/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
15/07/20262nd7/282%92%+0.11