6
Rayla
4yo Filly · 9-5
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Chateau D'arche - Sauternes, Grand Cru Classe 1855 Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Pau | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Pau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Les Sables | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-06 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/04/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 02/01/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 17/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |