14

Manapanis

4yo Colt · 9-13

Mauquenchy · Prix Yvette Thevenet - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 24/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/03C?C0 @ Enghien 08/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 13214/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 1326 @ Cordemais 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 13927/026C0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 139C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 23/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 13923/03C?C0 @ Chartres 17/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 13917/06C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Chartres?3rd3rd0
2026-03-23Le Croise-Laroche?5th5th0
2026-03-08Cordemais?5th5th0
2026-02-27Cordemais64th4th0
2025-12-12Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-11-14Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0312/1223/0317/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/03/20253rd18/15%78%+0.73
08/10/20257th28/10%57%+0.57
14/11/20253rd66/10%82%+0.82
12/12/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
27/02/20264th20/10%79%+0.79
08/03/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
23/03/20265th8/158%56%-0.02
17/06/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45