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8

Little Dragon

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Mauquenchy · Prix De Mauquenchy - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 19/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 13/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 13913/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Reims 10/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 13010/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vincennes 05/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/024C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 23/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 1304 @ Enghien 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 13613/034projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-27Enghien?0
2026-03-24Enghien?0
2026-03-13Enghien44th4th0
2026-02-23Le Croise-Laroche?1st1st0
2026-02-05Vincennes410th10th0
2025-11-20Vincennes?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/043/115/0213/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/202510th20/10%40%+0.40
21/09/20258th50/10%30%+0.30
13/10/20255th40/10%67%+0.67
03/11/20256th40/10%67%+0.67
10/11/20254th17/255%63%+0.07
20/11/202511th22/10%23%+0.23
05/02/202610th100/10%40%+0.40
23/02/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
13/03/20264th14/126%73%+0.46