4
Lumiere Dairpet
5yo Filly · 0-0
Mauquenchy · Prix De Mauquenchy - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Nancy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-28 | Nancy | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-30 | Toulouse | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 23/07/2024 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |
| 21/08/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |