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11

Nobel De Pail

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Mauquenchy · Prix Areas Cabinet Roberge - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 05/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 09/06C?C0 @ Cherbourg 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 024/06C?5 @ Pornichet 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 016/075projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Pornichet53rd3rd0
2026-06-24Cherbourg?5th5th0
2026-06-09Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-06-01Nantes?0
2026-05-12Vincennes?8th8th0
2026-04-05Chartres?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0412/059/0624/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
12/05/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
09/06/20266th100/10%55%+0.55
24/06/20265th28/10%64%+0.64
16/07/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78