3

Melody De L'epine

4yo Filly · 0-0

Mauquenchy · Prix Levasseur Receptions - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Reims 24/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 024/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 028/11C?C0 @ Amiens 09/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 09/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/12C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/03C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 30/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/03C?C0 @ Amiens 08/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 08/06C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Enghien50
2026-06-08Amiens?8th8th0
2026-04-29Laval?0
2026-04-21Vincennes?0
2026-03-30Le Croise-Laroche?6th6th0
2026-03-16Mauquenchy?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0429/128/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20256th16/116%50%+0.34
28/11/202510th50/10%31%+0.31
09/12/20254th33/10%77%+0.77
29/12/20255th14/126%20%-0.06
16/03/20262nd8/158%91%+0.33
30/03/20266th18/15%64%+0.59
08/06/20268th9/153%46%-0.06