IvyArcIvyArc
14

Major De La Basle

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Mauquenchy · Prix Ici Normandie - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 22/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 022/12C?6 @ Mauquenchy 12/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/016C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/02C?C0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Enghien 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-17Enghien?4th4th0
2026-03-08Cordemais?1st1st0
2026-02-02Maure De Bretagne?2nd2nd0
2026-01-12Mauquenchy63rd3rd0
2025-12-22Cabourg?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1212/012/028/0317/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength56%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/20257th28/10%45%+0.45
12/01/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
02/02/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
08/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
17/03/20264th11/142%73%+0.31