11

Mirage De Bray

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Mauquenchy · Prix Ici Normandie - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 29/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 029/07C?C0 @ Caen 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 13/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/10C?5 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Laval 23/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 023/04C?C0 @ Caen 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 028/05C?C0 @ Caen 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 010/06C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Les Sables?0
2026-06-10Caen?7th7th0
2026-05-28Meslay Du Maine?3rd3rd0
2026-05-03Caen?6th6th0
2026-04-23Laval?8th8th0
2026-03-26Lisieux56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0726/0328/0510/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20253rd17/255%86%+0.30
04/09/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
13/10/20257th12/137%45%+0.09
26/03/20266th11/142%62%+0.19
23/04/20268th16/116%42%+0.26
03/05/20266th18/15%50%+0.45
28/05/20263rd33/10%85%+0.85
10/06/20267th16/116%60%+0.44