6

Mistral De Kacy

4yo Colt · 0-0

Mauquenchy · Prix Ici Normandie - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 09/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 09/12C?C0 @ Pontchateau 21/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 021/12C?C0 @ La Capelle 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/04C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Pontchateau50
2026-04-19La Capelle?4th4th0
2025-12-21Pontchateau?2nd2nd0
2025-12-09Vincennes?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1221/1219/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/12/202510th10/147%25%-0.22
21/12/20252nd9/488%92%+0.04
19/04/20264th12/137%75%+0.38