4

Kentucky Danica

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Mauquenchy · Prix Pierre Bucau - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 28/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14328/05C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 143C0 @ Pornichet 19/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 14319/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 25/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 24/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14324/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 143C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 1434/05C?C0 @ Laval 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1437 @ Caen 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14318/067projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Lisieux?0
2026-06-18Caen71st1st0
2026-06-03Laval?2nd2nd0
2026-05-04Meslay Du Maine?1st1st0
2026-04-09Meslay Du Maine60
2025-11-27Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0525/084/0518/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength99%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
30/06/20253rd2/598%85%-0.13
19/07/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
25/08/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
24/10/20252nd6/492%89%-0.03
27/11/20252nd11/893%92%-0.00
04/05/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
03/06/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05
18/06/20261st4/696%100%+0.04