5
King De Play
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Mauquenchy · Prix Pierre Bucau - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Laval | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 16/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 06/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |