10

Ideal D'urzy

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Mauquenchy · Prix Gerard Portois - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14312/12C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 17/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 26/12/2024 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14326/12C?C0 @ Caen 13/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Les Sables 09/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 09/07C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 29/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Laval 15/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/11C?C0 @ Caen 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 05 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/075projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Le Mans51st1st0
2026-07-06Les Sables?0
2026-06-22Caen?1st1st0
2026-06-10Caen?0
2026-06-02Les Sables?0
2025-11-15Laval?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1213/0315/1125/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20247th4/179%60%-0.19
17/12/20243rd11/1094%88%-0.06
26/12/202412th3/184%27%-0.58
13/03/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
09/07/202510th200/10%40%+0.40
29/07/20255th9/153%60%+0.07
15/11/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
22/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
25/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08