5

Loorrim Lake A

10yo Gelding · 12-2

Monticello Harness · Race 7 - PACE · 1m 0f 0y

#1

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

89%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Yonkers Harness 22/03/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m Fas 15522/03C?C0 @ Yonkers Harness 29/03/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m Fas 15529/03C?C0 @ Yonkers Harness 17/11/2023 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m Fas 15017/11C?C0 @ Yonkers Harness 19/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m Fas 15019/12C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-05-14Yonkers Harness?0
2024-05-07Yonkers Harness?0
2024-04-30Yonkers Harness?0
2023-12-19Yonkers Harness?1st1st0
2023-12-12Yonkers Harness?0
2023-11-17Yonkers Harness?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0329/0317/1119/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20231st6/594%100%+0.06
29/03/20231st4/179%100%+0.21
17/11/20233rd15/890%71%-0.19
19/12/20231st4/179%100%+0.21