1

Prince Archie

6yo Gelding · 12-2

Monticello Harness · Race 8 - TROT · 1m 0f 0y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Woodbine Mohawk Harness 21/07/2023 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m Slo 17521/07C?C0 @ Woodbine Mohawk Harness 12/09/2023 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m Fas 17512/09C?C0 @ Woodbine Mohawk Harness 15/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m Fas 17515/12C?C0 @ Woodbine Mohawk Harness 22/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m Fas 17522/12C?C0 @ Woodbine Mohawk Harness 29/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m Gd 17529/12C?C0 @ Woodbine Mohawk Harness 22/04/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m Fas 15122/04C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-04-22Woodbine Mohawk Harness?4th4th0
2024-04-16Woodbine Mohawk Harness?0
2024-01-09Woodbine Mohawk Harness?0
2023-12-29Woodbine Mohawk Harness?1st1st0
2023-12-22Woodbine Mohawk Harness?2nd2nd0
2023-12-15Woodbine Mohawk Harness?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0712/0915/1222/1229/1222/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/07/20234th9/153%63%+0.10
12/09/20233rd20/10%71%+0.71
15/12/20232nd12/137%89%+0.52
22/12/20232nd9/276%89%+0.13
29/12/20231st4/179%100%+0.21
22/04/20244th12/137%67%+0.30